Lilleström 1-1 Rosenborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.57
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
37%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.56
No
42%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.1
2-3 Goals
46%
1.85
4-5 Goals
22%
3.06
6+ Goals
10%
9.73
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.94
1/2
7%
24.85
1/X EV+ ✗
13%
12.9
X/1
9%
6.11
X/2
12%
5.29
X/X
9%
5.16
2/1
8%
28.0
2/2
18%
3.22
2/X
8%
12.8
Value flag · 1/X at 12.9 — our 13% vs market 4.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
35%
-1.4pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.1pp
37%
Away Win
39%
-2.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.1pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lilleström EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Rosenborg EU Bookmakers 43%
-11% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -12%
1.15/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.07
-33% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -1%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
284 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 79%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.1
21.7 Crosses 19.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lilleström
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Rosenborg
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.64 xG 1.45
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
366 Passes 338
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Box Touches 22
21 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 3
21.08.2024 Rosenborg Rosenborg 4-0 HT 2-0 Lilleström Lilleström NOR
24.09.2023 Lilleström Lilleström 3-0 HT 1-0 Rosenborg Rosenborg NOR
09.07.2023 Rosenborg Rosenborg 1-2 HT 1-0 Lilleström Lilleström NOR
18.09.2022 Rosenborg Rosenborg 3-1 HT 2-0 Lilleström Lilleström NOR
19.06.2022 Lilleström Lilleström 3-1 HT 2-1 Rosenborg Rosenborg NOR
30.10.2021 Rosenborg Rosenborg 1-3 HT 1-0 Lilleström Lilleström NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lilleström
1-1
AWAY Rosenborg
1.07 xG 1.67
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
192 Passes 389
65% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ Lilleström vs Rosenborg
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Lilleström and Rosenborg shared the points in a 1-1 draw in the Norway - Eliteserien on 15 Sep 2024.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 58%.

On the day, Lilleström had 39% of the ball to Rosenborg's 61%, shots finished 8-12, expected goals 1.07 to 1.67.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lilleström have the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Lilleström and 1.67 for Rosenborg.

What was the final score of Lilleström vs Rosenborg?

Lilleström 1-1 Rosenborg in the Norway - Eliteserien on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lilleström vs Rosenborg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rosenborg win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Lilleström 34%, draw 30%, Rosenborg 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rosenborg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rosenborg) ✓ BTTS Yes
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