Odds BK 1-0 Tromsö — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.8
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
40%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.8
Over 2.5
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.07
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.81
6+ Goals
10%
16.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.07 — our 31% vs market 26.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.47
1/2
5%
27.5
1/X
8%
13.6
X/1
12%
6.14
X/2
19%
4.88
X/X
10%
4.44
2/1
7%
33.5
2/2
15%
3.23
2/X
8%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+2.8pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.5pp
40%
Away Win
41%
-1.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.4pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Odds BK EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Tromsö EU Bookmakers 45%
+3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -16%
1.25/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.24
+12% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -68% / +80%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
354 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 76%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
15.9 Crosses 13.5
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Odds BK
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Tromsö
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.61 xG 1.58
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
505 Passes 432
86% Pass Accuracy 86%
18 Box Touches 30
10 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
12.05.2024 Tromsö Tromsö 4-0 HT 0-0 Odds BK Odds BK NOR
12.11.2023 Odds BK Odds BK 1-2 HT 0-1 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
07.05.2023 Tromsö Tromsö 0-1 HT 0-0 Odds BK Odds BK NOR
15.10.2022 Tromsö Tromsö 3-2 HT 1-1 Odds BK Odds BK NOR
03.04.2022 Odds BK Odds BK 2-0 HT 1-0 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
27.10.2021 Tromsö Tromsö 2-0 HT 0-0 Odds BK Odds BK NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Odds BK
1-0
AWAY Tromsö
0.61 xG 1.35
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
373 Passes 416
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 36
9 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Odds BK vs Tromsö
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Odds BK edged past Tromsö 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 26% / 40% — and on the day Odds BK made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Odds BK had 47% of the ball to Tromsö's 53%, shots finished 7-17, expected goals 0.61 to 1.35 — the balance of chances actually favoured Tromsö.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tromsö led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Odds BK and 1.83 for Tromsö.

What was the final score of Odds BK vs Tromsö?

Odds BK 1-0 Tromsö in the Norway - Eliteserien on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Odds BK vs Tromsö?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tromsö win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Odds BK 35%, draw 26%, Tromsö 40%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Tromsö) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tromsö) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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