Tekstilac Odzaci 2-1 Backa Topola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.65
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
53%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.9
No
57%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
30%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
19%
+5.0pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.6pp
53%
Away Win
57%
-4.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.4pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tekstilac Odzaci EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Backa Topola EU Bookmakers 61%
+57% / +57% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +18%
1.90/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.84/1.29
+100% / +56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +17%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
232 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 79%
12.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.9
11.0 Crosses 19.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tekstilac Odzaci
2-1
AWAY Backa Topola
1.27 xG 1.33
20% Ball Possession 80%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
84 Passes 513
56% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 35
8 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tekstilac Odzaci vs Backa Topola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tekstilac Odzaci squeezed past Backa Topola 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Backa Topola at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tekstilac Odzaci had 20% of the ball to Backa Topola's 80%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 1.27 to 1.33.

What was the final score of Tekstilac Odzaci vs Backa Topola?

Tekstilac Odzaci 2-1 Backa Topola in the Serbia - Super League on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tekstilac Odzaci vs Backa Topola?

Before kick-off our model rated an Backa Topola win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Tekstilac Odzaci 24%, draw 24%, Backa Topola 53%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Backa Topola) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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