Novi Pazar 2-2 Cukaricki Stankom — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.47
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
37%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.82
Over 2.5
41%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.73
No
55%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-2.8pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.0pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+0.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
51%
+7.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
49%
-7.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
54%
-8.5pp
55%
BTTS No
46%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Novi Pazar EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Cukaricki Stankom EU Bookmakers 40%
+21% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +1%
1.26/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.02
+26% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
248 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 73%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
18.5 Crosses 16.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Novi Pazar
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Cukaricki Stankom
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.34 xG 1.81
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
272 Passes 312
72% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 22
13 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 1
29.03.2024 Cukaricki Stankom Cukaricki Stankom 2-0 HT 0-0 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
20.10.2023 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 1-0 HT 0-0 Cukaricki Stankom Cukaricki Stankom SIRP
29.10.2022 Cukaricki Stankom Cukaricki Stankom 2-2 HT 1-1 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
15.07.2022 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 1-2 HT 1-1 Cukaricki Stankom Cukaricki Stankom SIRP
22.11.2021 Cukaricki Stankom Cukaricki Stankom 1-1 HT 0-1 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
18.11.2021 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 2-2 HT 2-1 Cukaricki Stankom Cukaricki Stankom SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Novi Pazar
2-2
AWAY Cukaricki Stankom
0.99 xG 2.18
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 16
9 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
405 Passes 275
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 16
11 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Novi Pazar vs Cukaricki Stankom
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Novi Pazar and Cukaricki Stankom couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 29% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Novi Pazar had 58% of the ball to Cukaricki Stankom's 42%, shots finished 16-16, expected goals 0.99 to 2.18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cukaricki Stankom led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Novi Pazar and 1.50 for Cukaricki Stankom.

What was the final score of Novi Pazar vs Cukaricki Stankom?

Novi Pazar 2-2 Cukaricki Stankom in the Serbia - Super League on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Novi Pazar vs Cukaricki Stankom?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cukaricki Stankom win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Novi Pazar 34%, draw 29%, Cukaricki Stankom 37%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cukaricki Stankom) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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