Deportivo Maldonado 0-1 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 15 Sep 2024

Deportivo Maldonado
0-1
Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
📅15/09/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Uruguay - Premier League – 2024

Deportivo Maldonado vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.57
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.54
Over 2.5
45%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.99
No
51%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
35%
+2.6pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.4pp
36%
Away Win
36%
+0.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
61%
-5.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
39%
+5.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.4pp
51%
BTTS No
54%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Deportivo Maldonado v Liverpool FC (Montevideo) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Maldonado EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Liverpool FC (Montevideo) EU Bookmakers 39%
-13% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -8%
1.06/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.14
-12% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +2%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
266 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.0

Deportivo Maldonado vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Maldonado
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.03.2024 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 1-2 HT 1-2 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado URU
03.12.2023 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado 0-2 HT 0-0 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
03.07.2023 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 3-2 HT 1-2 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado URU
07.05.2023 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 4-2 HT 3-0 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado URU
28.08.2022 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 1-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado URU
23.07.2022 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 3-1 HT 2-0 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado URU

Deportivo Maldonado 0-1 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Maldonado
0-1
AWAY Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
57% Ball Possession 43%
8 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Deportivo Maldonado vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Liverpool FC (Montevideo) edged past Deportivo Maldonado 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 36%) promised a tight game; Liverpool FC (Montevideo) found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Deportivo Maldonado had 57% of the ball to Liverpool FC (Montevideo)'s 43%, shots finished 8-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Deportivo Maldonado and 2.33 for Liverpool FC (Montevideo).

What was the final score of Deportivo Maldonado vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo)?

Deportivo Maldonado 0-1 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) in the Uruguay - Premier League on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Maldonado vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Maldonado win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Maldonado 38%, draw 26%, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Deportivo Maldonado) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Maldonado) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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