CA Penarol 4-0 Rampla Juniors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.37
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
20%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.9
Over 2.5
46%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.16
No
61%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
24%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
69%
-11.9pp
23%
Draw
20%
+2.8pp
20%
Away Win
11%
+9.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
49%
+5.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
51%
-5.4pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.6pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CA Penarol EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Rampla Juniors EU Bookmakers 14%
-5% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +10%
1.52/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/2.47
-25% / +53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +95% / -29%
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
439 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CA Penarol
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Rampla Juniors
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
04.03.2024 Rampla Juniors Rampla Juniors 0-3 HT 0-1 CA Penarol CA Penarol URU
19.09.2019 Rampla Juniors Rampla Juniors 1-2 HT 0-2 CA Penarol CA Penarol URU
04.05.2015 Rampla Juniors Rampla Juniors 0-2 HT 0-1 CA Penarol CA Penarol URU
02.11.2014 CA Penarol CA Penarol 2-3 HT 1-0 Rampla Juniors Rampla Juniors URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CA Penarol
4-0
AWAY Rampla Juniors
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH CA Penarol vs Rampla Juniors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CA Penarol swept aside Rampla Juniors 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had CA Penarol as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, CA Penarol had 60% of the ball to Rampla Juniors's 40%, shots finished 13-3.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, CA Penarol had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for CA Penarol and 1.00 for Rampla Juniors.

What was the final score of CA Penarol vs Rampla Juniors?

CA Penarol 4-0 Rampla Juniors in the Uruguay - Premier League on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CA Penarol vs Rampla Juniors?

Before kick-off our model rated a CA Penarol win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split CA Penarol 57%, draw 23%, Rampla Juniors 20%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CA Penarol), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CA Penarol) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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