Danubio 3-0 CA River Plate — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.05
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.62
Over 2.5
38%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.96
No
59%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
45%
-4.7pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.0pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+3.7pp
62%
Under 2.5
58%
+3.7pp
38%
Over 2.5
42%
-3.7pp
41%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.9pp
59%
BTTS No
53%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Danubio EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY CA River Plate EU Bookmakers 31%
-4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -6%
1.14/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.00
-10% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +24%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
333 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Danubio
1W-2D-3L
AWAY CA River Plate
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
02.03.2024 CA River Plate CA River Plate 1-0 HT 0-0 Danubio Danubio URU
11.11.2023 Danubio Danubio 0-0 HT 0-0 CA River Plate CA River Plate URU
22.07.2023 Danubio Danubio 0-0 HT 0-0 CA River Plate CA River Plate URU
31.03.2023 CA River Plate CA River Plate 2-1 HT 2-0 Danubio Danubio URU
24.09.2022 Danubio Danubio 3-0 HT 2-0 CA River Plate CA River Plate URU
10.07.2022 Danubio Danubio 1-3 HT 1-2 CA River Plate CA River Plate URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Danubio
3-0
AWAY CA River Plate
36% Ball Possession 64%
12 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Danubio vs CA River Plate
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Danubio cruised past CA River Plate 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 29% / 31%) promised a tight game; Danubio found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, no to both teams scoring (59%) landed while under 2.5 goals (62%) missed.

On the day, Danubio had 36% of the ball to CA River Plate's 64%, shots finished 12-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CA River Plate led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Danubio and 1.00 for CA River Plate.

What was the final score of Danubio vs CA River Plate?

Danubio 3-0 CA River Plate in the Uruguay - Premier League on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Danubio vs CA River Plate?

Before kick-off our model rated a Danubio win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Danubio 40%, draw 29%, CA River Plate 31%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Danubio), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Danubio) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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