Charlotte Independence 0-1 Richmond Kickers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 15 Sep 2024

Charlotte Independence
0-1 HT 0-0
Richmond Kickers
📅15/09/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
USA - USL League 1 – 2024

Charlotte Independence vs Richmond Kickers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.86
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.21
Over 2.5
62%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.56
No
40%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
15%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
50%
-1.4pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.1pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+1.3pp
38%
Under 2.5
41%
-3.3pp
62%
Over 2.5
59%
+3.3pp
60%
BTTS Yes
60%
-0.5pp
40%
BTTS No
40%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Charlotte Independence v Richmond Kickers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Charlotte Independence EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Richmond Kickers EU Bookmakers 30%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +1%
1.62/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.52
+45% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -3%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
380 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 79%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
15.5 Crosses 14.1
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.8

Charlotte Independence vs Richmond Kickers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Charlotte Independence
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Richmond Kickers
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.81 xG 1.46
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
330 Passes 340
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.07.2023 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers 2-2 HT 1-1 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence USL1
02.04.2023 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers 1-2 HT 1-1 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence USL1
19.03.2023 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence 0-0 HT 0-0 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers USL1
09.07.2022 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence 1-1 HT 0-0 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers USL1
12.06.2022 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers 4-0 HT 3-0 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence USL1
26.04.2022 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence 1-2 HT 1-1 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers USL1

Charlotte Independence 0-1 Richmond Kickers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Charlotte Independence
0-1
AWAY Richmond Kickers
0.66 xG 1.45
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 0
406 Passes 454
90% Pass Accuracy 89%
29 Box Touches 20
11 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Charlotte Independence vs Richmond Kickers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Richmond Kickers edged past Charlotte Independence 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Charlotte Independence at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Charlotte Independence had 47% of the ball to Richmond Kickers's 53%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 0.66 to 1.45.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Richmond Kickers led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Charlotte Independence and 1.67 for Richmond Kickers.

What was the final score of Charlotte Independence vs Richmond Kickers?

Charlotte Independence 0-1 Richmond Kickers in the USA - USL League 1 on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Charlotte Independence vs Richmond Kickers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Charlotte Independence win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Charlotte Independence 48%, draw 24%, Richmond Kickers 28%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Charlotte Independence) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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