Hermanos Colmenarez 0-1 Rayo Zuliano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒00:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.94
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
38%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.68
Over 2.5
45%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
30%
+4.4pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.6pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-2.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.8pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hermanos Colmenarez EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Rayo Zuliano EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -57% / -57%
1.27/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.76
+9% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +18%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
283 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 75%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
21.4 Crosses 20.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hermanos Colmenarez
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Rayo Zuliano
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.55 xG 1.73
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
250 Passes 347
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
11 Box Touches 24
12 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 2
20.03.2024 Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano 0-1 HT 0-0 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez VEN
15.07.2023 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez 1-3 HT 1-1 Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano VEN
29.04.2023 Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano 1-1 HT 1-1 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hermanos Colmenarez
0-1
AWAY Rayo Zuliano
1.04 xG 0.68
62% Ball Possession 38%
13 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
413 Passes 210
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
28 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hermanos Colmenarez vs Rayo Zuliano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rayo Zuliano squeezed past Hermanos Colmenarez 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (35% / 27% / 38%) promised a tight game; Rayo Zuliano found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Hermanos Colmenarez had 62% of the ball to Rayo Zuliano's 38%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 1.04 to 0.68.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hermanos Colmenarez and 1.33 for Rayo Zuliano.

What was the final score of Hermanos Colmenarez vs Rayo Zuliano?

Hermanos Colmenarez 0-1 Rayo Zuliano in the Venezuela - Premier League on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hermanos Colmenarez vs Rayo Zuliano?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rayo Zuliano win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Hermanos Colmenarez 35%, draw 27%, Rayo Zuliano 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rayo Zuliano), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rayo Zuliano) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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