AIK 2-1 Brommapojkarna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 15 Sep 2025

📅15/09/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home OUR CALL
58%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
17%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.82
Over 2.5
44%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
3.16
2-3 Goals
35%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
3.72
6+ Goals
11%
15.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.16 — our 35% vs market 26.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.23
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.25
X/1
23%
4.14
X/2
8%
9.16
X/X
13%
4.82
2/1
7%
24.1
2/2
5%
7.53
2/X
5%
15.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
AIK win — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
54%
+4.4pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.7pp
18%
Away Win
21%
-3.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.8pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AIK EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Brommapojkarna EU Bookmakers 24%
+4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -13%
1.36/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.63
-11% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -13%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
324 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 80%
27.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
19.9 Crosses 21.5
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AIK
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Brommapojkarna
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.41 xG 1.42
46% Ball Possession 54%
17 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
336 Passes 412
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
26 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.05.2025 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna 0-1 HT 0-1 AIK AIK İSÇ
25.08.2024 AIK AIK 2-1 HT 2-1 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna İSÇ
06.04.2024 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna 2-2 HT 1-0 AIK AIK İSÇ
12.08.2023 AIK AIK 2-2 HT 1-1 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna İSÇ
01.07.2023 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna 0-2 HT 0-2 AIK AIK İSÇ
24.03.2019 AIK AIK 2-2 HT 2-1 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AIK
2-1
AWAY Brommapojkarna
0.96 xG 0.42
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 3
7 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
369 Passes 335
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 6
21 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH AIK vs Brommapojkarna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AIK squeezed past Brommapojkarna 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had AIK as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, AIK had 51% of the ball to Brommapojkarna's 49%, shots finished 15-3, expected goals 0.96 to 0.42.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, AIK had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for AIK and 1.17 for Brommapojkarna.

What was the final score of AIK vs Brommapojkarna?

AIK 2-1 Brommapojkarna in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 15/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AIK vs Brommapojkarna?

Before kick-off our model rated a AIK win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split AIK 58%, draw 25%, Brommapojkarna 18%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AIK) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AIK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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