Como 1-1 Genoa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 15 Sep 2025

Como
1 - 1 HT 1 - 0
Genoa
📅15/09/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.72
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
19%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
1.64
Over
44%
2.05
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.07
No
53%
1.67
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2.55
2-3
46%
1.72
4-5
19%
4.23
6+
4%
21.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
2.2
1/2
1%
34.5
1/X
5%
15.0
X/1
20%
3.97
X/2
8%
9.68
X/X
17%
4.33
2/1
3%
27.0
2/2
9%
8.54
2/X
5%
16.95
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Como The Market 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Genoa The Market 22%
Strong Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.84 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.01
0.81 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.44
Average Attack Strength Average
Strong Defense Strength Strong
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
355 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 75%
29 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Como
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Genoa
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.90 xG 1.18
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
309 Passes 298
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
23 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
27.04.2025 Como Como 1-0 HT 0-0 Genoa Genoa İTA
07.11.2024 Genoa Genoa 1-1 HT 0-1 Como Como İTA
10.04.2023 Como Como 2-2 HT 0-1 Genoa Genoa İTB
13.11.2022 Genoa Genoa 1-1 HT 1-0 Como Como İTB
06.01.2004 Genoa Genoa 0-1 HT 0-0 Como Como İTB
03.02.2002 Como Como 2-1 HT 1-1 Genoa Genoa İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Como
1 - 1
AWAY Genoa
1.83 xG 2.27
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 8
379 Passes 323
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 23
7 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Como vs Genoa
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Como and Genoa couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. The 1-0 half-time score told a different story — this one turned on its head late.

File this under upsets: a 55% lean on Como went begging. That's football — and exactly why we publish probabilities, not promises. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

The match data tells the story: Como had 53% of the ball to Genoa's 47%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 1.83 to 2.27.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Como had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Como and 0.83 for Genoa.

Como vs Genoa Result & Final Score

Como 1 - 1 Genoa in the Italy - Serie A on 15/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Como vs Genoa Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Como win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Como 55%, draw 26%, Genoa 19%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Como), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Como) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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