Gomel 1-0 Vitebsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 15 Sep 2025

📅15/09/2025 · 🕒20:55 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.02
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.59
Over 2.5
50%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.99
No
45%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.31
2-3 Goals
39%
1.7
4-5 Goals
22%
4.54
6+ Goals
11%
26.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
14%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
45%
-2.0pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.0pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+1.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
59%
-8.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
41%
+8.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
46%
+8.5pp
45%
BTTS No
54%
-8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gomel EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Vitebsk EU Bookmakers 30%
-5% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.08/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/0.94
-24% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +42%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
263 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gomel
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Vitebsk
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
26.04.2025 Vitebsk Vitebsk 2-0 HT 1-0 Gomel Gomel BLR
27.10.2024 Vitebsk Vitebsk 0-1 HT 0-0 Gomel Gomel BLR
26.07.2024 Gomel Gomel 1-2 HT 1-2 Vitebsk Vitebsk BLRK
02.06.2024 Gomel Gomel 0-0 HT 0-0 Vitebsk Vitebsk BLR
30.09.2022 Gomel Gomel 1-0 HT 1-0 Vitebsk Vitebsk BLR
13.05.2022 Vitebsk Vitebsk 1-1 HT 0-0 Gomel Gomel BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gomel
1-0
AWAY Vitebsk
50% Ball Possession 50%
18 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gomel vs Vitebsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gomel nicked a narrow win over Vitebsk 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Gomel as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gomel had 50% of the ball to Vitebsk's 50%, shots finished 18-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Gomel and 0.83 for Vitebsk.

What was the final score of Gomel vs Vitebsk?

Gomel 1-0 Vitebsk in the Belarus - Premier League on 15/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gomel vs Vitebsk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gomel win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Gomel 43%, draw 29%, Vitebsk 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gomel) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gomel) ✗ BTTS Yes
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