Vitebsk 0-1 Gomel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.05
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.62
Over 2.5
41%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.95
No
58%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
35%
2.57
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.58
6+ Goals
10%
24.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.57 — our 35% vs market 32.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
18%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
45%
-3.4pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.7pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+1.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
58%
+1.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
42%
-1.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.2pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vitebsk EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Gomel EU Bookmakers 31%
-1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +0%
1.30/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/0.91
-10% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +52%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
308 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vitebsk
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Gomel
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.07.2024 Gomel Gomel 1-2 HT 1-2 Vitebsk Vitebsk BLRK
02.06.2024 Gomel Gomel 0-0 HT 0-0 Vitebsk Vitebsk BLR
30.09.2022 Gomel Gomel 1-0 HT 1-0 Vitebsk Vitebsk BLR
13.05.2022 Vitebsk Vitebsk 1-1 HT 0-0 Gomel Gomel BLR
27.04.2022 Vitebsk Vitebsk 1-0 HT 0-0 Gomel Gomel BLRK
11.09.2021 Gomel Gomel 4-1 HT 2-1 Vitebsk Vitebsk BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vitebsk
0-1
AWAY Gomel
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
12 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vitebsk vs Gomel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gomel nicked a narrow win over Vitebsk 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Vitebsk at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Vitebsk had 51% of the ball to Gomel's 49%, shots finished 10-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Vitebsk and 1.17 for Gomel.

What was the final score of Vitebsk vs Gomel?

Vitebsk 0-1 Gomel in the Belarus - Premier League on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vitebsk vs Gomel?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vitebsk win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Vitebsk 41%, draw 30%, Gomel 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Vitebsk) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vitebsk) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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