Isloch Minsk 3-0 Naftan Novopolotsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.75
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
30%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.07
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.81
6+ Goals
11%
16.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.07 — our 30% vs market 26.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
9%
1/X
11%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
54%
-12.7pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.8pp
30%
Away Win
21%
+8.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.3pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Isloch Minsk EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Naftan Novopolotsk EU Bookmakers 24%
-16% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +12%
1.55/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.23
-7% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / +23%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
333 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Isloch Minsk
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Naftan Novopolotsk
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.06.2024 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk 2-1 HT 1-0 Isloch Minsk Isloch Minsk BLR
21.10.2023 Isloch Minsk Isloch Minsk 5-1 HT 1-0 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk BLR
27.05.2023 Naftan Novopolotsk Naftan Novopolotsk 0-1 HT 0-0 Isloch Minsk Isloch Minsk BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Isloch Minsk
3-0
AWAY Naftan Novopolotsk
50% Ball Possession 50%
18 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Isloch Minsk vs Naftan Novopolotsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Isloch Minsk cruised past Naftan Novopolotsk 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Isloch Minsk as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Isloch Minsk had 50% of the ball to Naftan Novopolotsk's 50%, shots finished 18-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Isloch Minsk had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Isloch Minsk and 1.00 for Naftan Novopolotsk.

What was the final score of Isloch Minsk vs Naftan Novopolotsk?

Isloch Minsk 3-0 Naftan Novopolotsk in the Belarus - Premier League on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Isloch Minsk vs Naftan Novopolotsk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Isloch Minsk win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Isloch Minsk 41%, draw 29%, Naftan Novopolotsk 30%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Isloch Minsk) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Isloch Minsk) ✗ Under 2.5
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