FC Tokyo 1-0 Tokyo Verdy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 15 Sep 2025

📅15/09/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.59
Over 2.5
45%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.39
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
22%
4.56
6+ Goals
8%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.48
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
9%
12.9
X/1
16%
5.11
X/2
9%
6.21
X/X
14%
3.7
2/1
8%
32.0
2/2
16%
4.73
2/X
6%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
39%
-0.9pp
30%
Draw
31%
-1.0pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+1.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.7pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Tokyo EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Tokyo Verdy EU Bookmakers 33%
+1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +3%
1.48/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/0.93
+1% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +31%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
365 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 78%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
19.1 Crosses 15.1
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Tokyo
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Tokyo Verdy
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.12 xG 1.15
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
396 Passes 249
81% Pass Accuracy 73%
18 Box Touches 27
17 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
02.04.2025 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 2-2 HT 1-1 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JAP
17.08.2024 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 0-0 HT 0-0 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy JAP
13.04.2024 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 2-2 HT 2-0 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JAP
12.07.2023 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 1-1 HT 1-0 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy JPK
08.06.2008 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 2-4 HT 2-2 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo JLK
25.05.2008 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 3-0 HT 1-0 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy JLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Tokyo
1-0
AWAY Tokyo Verdy
0.53 xG 0.58
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
284 Passes 311
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
13 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Tokyo vs Tokyo Verdy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Tokyo edged past Tokyo Verdy 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 30% / 32% — and on the day FC Tokyo made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, FC Tokyo had 50% of the ball to Tokyo Verdy's 50%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 0.53 to 0.58.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Tokyo had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for FC Tokyo and 1.17 for Tokyo Verdy.

What was the final score of FC Tokyo vs Tokyo Verdy?

FC Tokyo 1-0 Tokyo Verdy in the Japan - J1 League on 15/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Tokyo vs Tokyo Verdy?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Tokyo win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split FC Tokyo 39%, draw 30%, Tokyo Verdy 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Tokyo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Tokyo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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