Miramar Misiones 3-0 Montevideo Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 15 Sep 2025

📅15/09/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.47
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
36%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.56
Over 2.5
45%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.99
No
48%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
11%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
-0.3pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.5pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+2.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
60%
-4.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
40%
+4.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
46%
+5.8pp
48%
BTTS No
54%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Miramar Misiones EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Montevideo Wanderers EU Bookmakers 37%
-6% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -11%
1.11/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.03
-6% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +8%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
313 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Miramar Misiones
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Montevideo Wanderers
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.03.2025 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 1-2 Miramar Misiones Miramar Misiones URU
27.11.2024 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 2-0 HT 0-0 Miramar Misiones Miramar Misiones URU
25.05.2024 Miramar Misiones Miramar Misiones 2-0 HT 1-0 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Miramar Misiones
3-0
AWAY Montevideo Wanderers
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Miramar Misiones vs Montevideo Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Miramar Misiones ran out comfortable winners over Montevideo Wanderers 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 36%) promised a tight game; Miramar Misiones found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Miramar Misiones had 41% of the ball to Montevideo Wanderers's 59%, shots finished 7-7.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Miramar Misiones had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Miramar Misiones and 1.00 for Montevideo Wanderers.

What was the final score of Miramar Misiones vs Montevideo Wanderers?

Miramar Misiones 3-0 Montevideo Wanderers in the Uruguay - Premier League on 15/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Miramar Misiones vs Montevideo Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Miramar Misiones win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Miramar Misiones 37%, draw 27%, Montevideo Wanderers 36%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Miramar Misiones) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Miramar Misiones) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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15 Sep 2025
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