Plaza Colonia 1-2 Nacional de Football — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 15 Sep 2025

Plaza Colonia
1-2 HT 1-1
Nacional de Football
📅15/09/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Uruguay - Premier League – 2026

Plaza Colonia vs Nacional de Football Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
7.18
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
61%
1.4
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.8
Over 2.5
50%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.27
No
55%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
26%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
29%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
11%
+5.7pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.1pp
61%
Away Win
68%
-6.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
40%
+5.5pp
55%
BTTS No
60%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Plaza Colonia v Nacional de Football — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Plaza Colonia EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Nacional de Football EU Bookmakers 71%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -5%
0.89/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.10/0.86
+14% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +0%
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
242 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 441 · 84%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.9

Plaza Colonia vs Nacional de Football Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Plaza Colonia
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Nacional de Football
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
6 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
23.03.2025 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 1-1 Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia URU
04.09.2023 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 0-0 HT 0-0 Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia URU
06.07.2023 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 4-1 HT 1-0 Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia URU
19.02.2023 Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia 2-1 HT 0-0 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU
11.09.2022 Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia 1-3 HT 1-1 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU
10.07.2022 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 3-1 HT 2-1 Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia URU

Plaza Colonia 1-2 Nacional de Football — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Plaza Colonia
1-2
AWAY Nacional de Football
34% Ball Possession 66%
6 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 8
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Plaza Colonia vs Nacional de Football
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nacional de Football nicked a narrow win over Plaza Colonia 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Nacional de Football as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Plaza Colonia had 34% of the ball to Nacional de Football's 66%, shots finished 6-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nacional de Football led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Plaza Colonia and 2.00 for Nacional de Football.

What was the final score of Plaza Colonia vs Nacional de Football?

Plaza Colonia 1-2 Nacional de Football in the Uruguay - Premier League on 15/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Plaza Colonia vs Nacional de Football?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nacional de Football win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Plaza Colonia 17%, draw 22%, Nacional de Football 61%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nacional de Football) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nacional de Football) ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
URU More Uruguay - Premier League
15 Sep 2025
02:30 Miramar Misiones vs Montevideo Wanderers Analysis →