Nacional de Football vs Plaza Colonia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Nacional de Football v Plaza Colonia — Team-Based Signals
Nacional de Football vs Plaza Colonia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Plaza Colonia
URU
4-1
HT 1-0
Plaza Colonia
URU
2-1
HT 0-0
Nacional de Football
URU
1-3
HT 1-1
Nacional de Football
URU
3-1
HT 2-1
Plaza Colonia
URU
1-0
HT 0-0
Plaza Colonia
URU
Nacional de Football 1-1 Plaza Colonia — Actual Match Statistics
Nacional de Football and Plaza Colonia shared the points in a 1-1 draw.
This one beat our numbers. Nacional de Football carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Nacional de Football had 68% of the ball to Plaza Colonia's 32%, shots finished 15-5.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nacional de Football had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Nacional de Football and 0.83 for Plaza Colonia.
What was the final score of Nacional de Football vs Plaza Colonia?
Nacional de Football 1-1 Plaza Colonia in the Uruguay - Premier League on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Nacional de Football vs Plaza Colonia?
Before kick-off our model rated a Nacional de Football win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Nacional de Football 55%, draw 23%, Plaza Colonia 22%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.