Nacional de Football 1-1 Plaza Colonia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 23 Mar 2025

📅23/03/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.47
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
22%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.86
Over 2.5
52%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.06
No
53%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
64%
-8.4pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.1pp
22%
Away Win
14%
+7.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
50%
-1.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
50%
+1.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.4pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nacional de Football EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Plaza Colonia EU Bookmakers 17%
-1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +10%
1.95/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.43
+20% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +6%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
384 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 233 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nacional de Football
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Plaza Colonia
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 4
04.09.2023 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 0-0 HT 0-0 Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia URU
06.07.2023 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 4-1 HT 1-0 Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia URU
19.02.2023 Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia 2-1 HT 0-0 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU
11.09.2022 Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia 1-3 HT 1-1 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU
10.07.2022 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 3-1 HT 2-1 Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia URU
03.04.2022 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 1-0 HT 0-0 Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nacional de Football
1-1
AWAY Plaza Colonia
68% Ball Possession 32%
15 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 1
13 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Nacional de Football vs Plaza Colonia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nacional de Football and Plaza Colonia shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

This one beat our numbers. Nacional de Football carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Nacional de Football had 68% of the ball to Plaza Colonia's 32%, shots finished 15-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nacional de Football had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Nacional de Football and 0.83 for Plaza Colonia.

What was the final score of Nacional de Football vs Plaza Colonia?

Nacional de Football 1-1 Plaza Colonia in the Uruguay - Premier League on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nacional de Football vs Plaza Colonia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nacional de Football win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Nacional de Football 55%, draw 23%, Plaza Colonia 22%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Nacional de Football) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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