Defensor Sporting 0-0 Cerro Largo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 23 Mar 2025

📅23/03/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.0
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.67
Over 2.5
34%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.9
No
62%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
-6.7pp
32%
Draw
28%
+4.2pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.5pp
66%
Under 2.5
56%
+10.0pp
34%
Over 2.5
44%
-10.0pp
38%
BTTS Yes
49%
-10.7pp
62%
BTTS No
51%
+10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Defensor Sporting EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerro Largo EU Bookmakers 29%
-5% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -8%
1.43/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.07
+11% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +17%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
397 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Defensor Sporting
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Cerro Largo
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
28.11.2024 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 3-0 HT 2-0 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting URU
26.05.2024 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 3-1 HT 3-1 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
22.10.2023 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 2-0 HT 0-0 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
19.03.2023 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 0-3 HT 0-1 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting URU
16.09.2022 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 0-1 HT 0-0 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
09.04.2022 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 0-0 HT 0-0 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Defensor Sporting
0-0
AWAY Cerro Largo
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Defensor Sporting vs Cerro Largo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Defensor Sporting and Cerro Largo played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (39% / 32% / 28%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Defensor Sporting had 60% of the ball to Cerro Largo's 40%, shots finished 11-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Defensor Sporting had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Defensor Sporting and 0.83 for Cerro Largo.

What was the final score of Defensor Sporting vs Cerro Largo?

Defensor Sporting 0-0 Cerro Largo in the Uruguay - Premier League on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Defensor Sporting vs Cerro Largo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Defensor Sporting win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Defensor Sporting 39%, draw 32%, Cerro Largo 28%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Defensor Sporting) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Defensor Sporting) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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