Progreso vs CA River Plate Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Progreso v CA River Plate — Team-Based Signals
Progreso vs CA River Plate Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
CA River Plate
URU
4-0
HT 3-0
Progreso
URU
3-2
HT 2-0
Progreso
URU
Progreso 2-1 CA River Plate — Actual Match Statistics
Progreso edged past CA River Plate 2-1.
Our pre-match split (37% / 29% / 35%) promised a tight game; Progreso found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Progreso had 49% of the ball to CA River Plate's 51%, shots finished 14-10.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Progreso had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Progreso and 1.50 for CA River Plate.
What was the final score of Progreso vs CA River Plate?
Progreso 2-1 CA River Plate in the Uruguay - Premier League on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Progreso vs CA River Plate?
Before kick-off our model rated a Progreso win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Progreso 37%, draw 29%, CA River Plate 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Progreso) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.