Progreso 2-0 CA River Plate — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
39%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.78
Over 2.5
41%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.76
No
60%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
42%
-8.6pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.3pp
39%
Away Win
31%
+8.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
52%
+7.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
48%
-7.0pp
40%
BTTS Yes
53%
-12.7pp
60%
BTTS No
47%
+12.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Progreso EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY CA River Plate EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -8%
1.00/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.08
-19% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
313 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Progreso
2W-1D-3L
AWAY CA River Plate
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
09.06.2024 Progreso Progreso 1-0 HT 1-0 CA River Plate CA River Plate URU
21.04.2024 CA River Plate CA River Plate 2-2 HT 1-1 Progreso Progreso URU
09.10.2021 Progreso Progreso 1-0 HT 1-0 CA River Plate CA River Plate URU
12.06.2021 CA River Plate CA River Plate 4-0 HT 3-0 Progreso Progreso URU
29.03.2021 CA River Plate CA River Plate 3-2 HT 2-0 Progreso Progreso URU
10.10.2020 Progreso Progreso 1-2 HT 0-1 CA River Plate CA River Plate URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Progreso
2-0
AWAY CA River Plate
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 8
POST-MATCH Progreso vs CA River Plate
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Progreso saw off CA River Plate 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 27% / 39%) promised a tight game; Progreso found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Progreso had 50% of the ball to CA River Plate's 50%, shots finished 7-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CA River Plate led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Progreso and 1.83 for CA River Plate.

What was the final score of Progreso vs CA River Plate?

Progreso 2-0 CA River Plate in the Uruguay - Premier League on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Progreso vs CA River Plate?

Before kick-off our model rated an CA River Plate win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Progreso 34%, draw 27%, CA River Plate 39%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (CA River Plate) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CA River Plate) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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