Cerro 1-1 Danubio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 23 Mar 2025

📅23/03/2025 · 🕒23:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.94
Draw
29%
2.88
Away
35%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.52
Over 2.5
39%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.09
No
59%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
31%
+5.5pp
29%
Draw
31%
-1.9pp
35%
Away Win
38%
-3.7pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.7pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.7pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.5pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerro EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Danubio EU Bookmakers 42%
+5% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -20%
0.89/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.31
-22% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -19%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
299 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cerro
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Danubio
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
14.11.2024 Danubio Danubio 0-0 HT 0-0 Cerro Cerro URU
22.06.2024 Cerro Cerro 0-0 HT 0-0 Danubio Danubio URU
11.05.2024 Cerro Cerro 2-0 HT 2-0 Danubio Danubio URU
19.10.2023 Cerro Cerro 1-1 HT 0-1 Danubio Danubio URU
12.03.2023 Danubio Danubio 1-0 HT 1-0 Cerro Cerro URU
18.11.2021 Danubio Danubio 0-0 HT 0-0 Cerro Cerro URU2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cerro
1-1
AWAY Danubio
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
FAQ Cerro vs Danubio
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Cerro and Danubio shared the points in a 1-1 draw in the Uruguay - Premier League on 23 Mar 2025. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

It projected a tighter game, with under 2.5 goals at 61% and both teams to score was close to even at 41%.

On the day, Cerro had 46% of the ball to Danubio's 54%, shots finished 10-18.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours are even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Cerro and 0.33 for Danubio.

What was the final score of Cerro vs Danubio?

Cerro 1-1 Danubio in the Uruguay - Premier League on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cerro vs Danubio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cerro win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Cerro 36%, draw 29%, Danubio 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cerro), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cerro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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