Al Hilal Riyadh vs Al Gharafa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Al Hilal Riyadh v Al Gharafa — Team-Based Signals
Al Hilal Riyadh vs Al Gharafa Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Al Hilal Riyadh 2-1 Al Gharafa — Actual Match Statistics
Al Hilal Riyadh found just enough to beat Al Gharafa 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Hilal Riyadh as the likeliest winner at 89%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals card split: over 2.5 goals (82%) came in, no to both teams scoring (55%) didn't.
Under the surface, Al Hilal Riyadh had 68% of the ball to Al Gharafa's 32%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 1.81 to 0.48 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Al Hilal Riyadh's control.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Al Hilal Riyadh had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Al Hilal Riyadh and 0.50 for Al Gharafa.
Al Hilal Riyadh vs Al Gharafa Result & Final Score
Al Hilal Riyadh 2 - 1 Al Gharafa in the AFC Sampiyonlar League on 15/09/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Al Hilal Riyadh vs Al Gharafa Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Hilal Riyadh win the most likely single outcome at about 89%, with the full match-result split Al Hilal Riyadh 89%, draw 5%, Al Gharafa 6%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Hilal Riyadh), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.