AFC Telford United 1-1 Alvechurch — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 15 Oct 2024

📅15/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.61
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
28%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.97
Over 2.5
47%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.82
No
57%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
58%
-11.6pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.8pp
28%
Away Win
19%
+8.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
47%
+5.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
53%
-5.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.7pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Telford United EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Alvechurch EU Bookmakers 22%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +6%
2.13/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.66
+3% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +7%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
366 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Telford United
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Alvechurch
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 0
19.03.2024 Alvechurch Alvechurch 0-2 HT 0-2 AFC Telford United AFC Telford United İNGNLP
24.10.2023 AFC Telford United AFC Telford United 1-0 HT 1-0 Alvechurch Alvechurch İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Telford United
1-1
AWAY Alvechurch
60% Ball Possession 40%
9 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 1
POST-MATCH AFC Telford United vs Alvechurch
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Telford United and Alvechurch couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was AFC Telford United at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, AFC Telford United had 60% of the ball to Alvechurch's 40%, shots finished 9-7.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, AFC Telford United had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for AFC Telford United and 0.00 for Alvechurch.

What was the final score of AFC Telford United vs Alvechurch?

AFC Telford United 1-1 Alvechurch in the England - Non League Premier on 15/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Telford United vs Alvechurch?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Telford United win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split AFC Telford United 46%, draw 26%, Alvechurch 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (AFC Telford United), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AFC Telford United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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