Plymouth Parkway 1-2 AFC Totton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 15 Oct 2024

📅15/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.09
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
54%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.38
Over 2.5
52%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
41%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
17%
+4.5pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.2pp
54%
Away Win
63%
-8.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
38%
+9.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
62%
-9.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.8pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Plymouth Parkway EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Totton EU Bookmakers 67%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
0.75/2.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/0.49
-28% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / +110%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
305 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 457 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Plymouth Parkway
0W-1D-3L
AWAY AFC Totton
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.04.2024 Plymouth Parkway Plymouth Parkway 0-3 HT 0-2 AFC Totton AFC Totton İNGNLP
19.03.2024 AFC Totton AFC Totton 2-0 Plymouth Parkway Plymouth Parkway İNGNLP
07.10.2023 AFC Totton AFC Totton 2-1 Plymouth Parkway Plymouth Parkway FAK
30.09.2023 Plymouth Parkway Plymouth Parkway 0-0 AFC Totton AFC Totton İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Plymouth Parkway
1-2
AWAY AFC Totton
53% Ball Possession 47%
7 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Plymouth Parkway vs AFC Totton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Totton nicked a narrow win over Plymouth Parkway 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had AFC Totton as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Plymouth Parkway had 53% of the ball to AFC Totton's 47%, shots finished 7-8.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, AFC Totton led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Plymouth Parkway and 1.75 for AFC Totton.

What was the final score of Plymouth Parkway vs AFC Totton?

Plymouth Parkway 1-2 AFC Totton in the England - Non League Premier on 15/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Plymouth Parkway vs AFC Totton?

Before kick-off our model rated an AFC Totton win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Plymouth Parkway 21%, draw 25%, AFC Totton 54%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AFC Totton), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AFC Totton) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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