Bromsgrove Sporting 1-2 Kettering Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 15 Oct 2024

📅15/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
3.46
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
40%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
1.97
Over Pick
52%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
38%
4-5
25%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
26%
+12.6pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.3pp
40%
Away Win
50%
-9.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
47%
+1.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
53%
-1.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.1pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bromsgrove Sporting EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Kettering Town EU Bookmakers 54%
-2% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.27/1.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.58/0.84
-4% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +55% / +42%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
210 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bromsgrove Sporting
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Kettering Town
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
65% Ball Possession 35%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 5
11 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
30.01.2024 Kettering Town Kettering Town 1-1 HT 0-1 Bromsgrove Sporting Bromsgrove Sporting İNGNLP
09.09.2023 Bromsgrove Sporting Bromsgrove Sporting 1-2 HT 0-2 Kettering Town Kettering Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Bromsgrove Sporting vs Kettering Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kettering Town edged past Bromsgrove Sporting 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 22% / 40% — and on the day Kettering Town made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Kettering Town led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bromsgrove Sporting and 1.50 for Kettering Town.

What was the final score of Bromsgrove Sporting vs Kettering Town?

Bromsgrove Sporting 1-2 Kettering Town in the England - Non League Premier on 15/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bromsgrove Sporting vs Kettering Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kettering Town win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Bromsgrove Sporting 38%, draw 22%, Kettering Town 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kettering Town), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kettering Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNGNLP More England - Non League Premier
15 Oct 2024
00:00 Wimborne Town vs Tiverton Town Analysis →
00:00 Banbury United vs Bedford Town Analysis →
00:00 Plymouth Parkway vs AFC Totton Analysis →
00:00 Sholing vs Dorchester Town Analysis →
00:00 Hungerford Town vs Bracknell Town Analysis →
00:00 Lowestoft Town vs Bishops Stortford Analysis →