15/10/2024
·
21:45
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
3-0
2nd Score
2-1
Gloucester City vs Frome Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1
18%
2-3
44%
4-5
30%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 63% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH
Home Win
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
69%
18%
Draw
19%
20%
Away Win
13%
37%
Under 2.5
39%
63%
Over 2.5
61%
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
54%
BTTS No
49%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Gloucester City v Frome Town — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Gloucester City
EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY
Frome Town
EU Bookmakers 16%
+25% /
+25%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+12% /
+12%
2.49/1.49
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.24/2.26
+12%
/
-26%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-78%
/
-5%
57%
Ball Possession
43%
16
Total Shots
6
7
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
3
455 · 83%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
295 · 73%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
2.0
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Gloucester City vs Frome Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Gloucester City saw off Frome Town 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Gloucester City as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Gloucester City vs Frome Town?
Gloucester City 2-0 Frome Town in the England - Non League Premier on 15/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Gloucester City vs Frome Town?
Before kick-off our model rated a Gloucester City win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Gloucester City 63%, draw 18%, Frome Town 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gloucester City), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Gloucester City)
✗ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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İNGNLP
More England - Non League Premier
15 Oct 2024