Marlow 0-5 Chertsey Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 15 Oct 2024

📅15/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.94
Draw
30%
3.64
Away
39%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
2.33
Over Pick
54%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.5
No
49%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
46%
4-5
20%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
+0.5pp
30%
Draw
24%
+6.2pp
39%
Away Win
45%
-6.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
39%
+7.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
61%
-7.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
62%
-11.5pp
49%
BTTS No
38%
+11.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marlow EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Chertsey Town EU Bookmakers 49%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-7% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
308 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 402 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Marlow
0-5
AWAY Chertsey Town
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 19
1 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Marlow vs Chertsey Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chertsey Town cruised past Marlow 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (31% / 30% / 39%) promised a tight game; Chertsey Town found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Marlow had 48% of the ball to Chertsey Town's 52%, shots finished 8-19.

What was the final score of Marlow vs Chertsey Town?

Marlow 0-5 Chertsey Town in the England - Non League Premier on 15/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marlow vs Chertsey Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chertsey Town win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Marlow 31%, draw 30%, Chertsey Town 39%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chertsey Town), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chertsey Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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