Poole Town 0-1 Havant & Waterlooville — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 15 Oct 2024

📅15/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.47
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
31%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
2.1
Over
46%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.56
No
49%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
41%
4-5
24%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
37%
+4.9pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.5pp
31%
Away Win
37%
-6.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
44%
+9.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
56%
-9.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.0pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Poole Town EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Havant & Waterlooville EU Bookmakers 40%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+34% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
340 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Poole Town vs Havant & Waterlooville
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Havant & Waterlooville squeezed past Poole Town 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Poole Town at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

What was the final score of Poole Town vs Havant & Waterlooville?

Poole Town 0-1 Havant & Waterlooville in the England - Non League Premier on 15/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Poole Town vs Havant & Waterlooville?

Before kick-off our model rated a Poole Town win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Poole Town 42%, draw 27%, Havant & Waterlooville 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Poole Town), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Poole Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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