Brusque vs Ituano Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Brusque v Ituano — Team-Based Signals
Brusque vs Ituano Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Brusque
BR2
0-1
HT 0-1
Ituano
BR2
3-1
HT 2-1
Brusque
BRE3
2-0
HT 1-0
Ituano
BRE3
Brusque 1-0 Ituano — Actual Match Statistics
Brusque edged past Ituano 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (40% / 32% / 27%) promised a tight game; Brusque found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Brusque had 47% of the ball to Ituano's 53%, shots finished 21-12, expected goals 1.85 to 0.94.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Ituano led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Brusque and 1.40 for Ituano.
What was the final score of Brusque vs Ituano?
Brusque 1-0 Ituano in the Brazil - Serie B on 15/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Brusque vs Ituano?
Before kick-off our model rated a Brusque win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Brusque 40%, draw 32%, Ituano 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brusque), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.