Nikaragua 3-2 Fransız Guyanası — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Champions League, 15 Oct 2024

📅15/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.42
Draw
19%
4.08
Away
15%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.19
No
61%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.09
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.79
6+ Goals
7%
16.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.09 — our 28% vs market 26.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
5%
2/1
7%
2/2
4%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
66%
-0.4pp
19%
Draw
22%
-2.2pp
15%
Away Win
12%
+2.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.3pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.5pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nikaragua EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Fransız Guyanası EU Bookmakers 15%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
0.82/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.43/0.89
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +74%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
400 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 74%
12.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
15.0 Crosses 12.0
4.0 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nikaragua
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Fransız Guyanası
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.92 xG 0.80
62% Ball Possession 38%
19 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 1
423 Passes 193
86% Pass Accuracy 72%
19 Box Touches 9
13 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 2
06.09.2024 Fransız Guyanası Fransız Guyanası 0-1 HT 0-0 Nikaragua Nikaragua CON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nikaragua
3-2
AWAY Fransız Guyanası
64% Ball Possession 36%
24 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Nikaragua vs Fransız Guyanası
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nikaragua edged past Fransız Guyanası 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Nikaragua as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nikaragua had 64% of the ball to Fransız Guyanası's 36%, shots finished 24-7.

What was the final score of Nikaragua vs Fransız Guyanası?

Nikaragua 3-2 Fransız Guyanası in the CONCACAF Champions League on 15/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nikaragua vs Fransız Guyanası?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nikaragua win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Nikaragua 66%, draw 19%, Fransız Guyanası 15%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nikaragua) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nikaragua) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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