Fransız Guyanası 0-1 Nikaragua — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Champions League, 6 Sep 2024

📅06/09/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.5
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
50%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.78
Over 2.5
49%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
3.04
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
15%
3.83
6+ Goals
11%
16.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.04 — our 34% vs market 27.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
26%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
25%
+1.9pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.2pp
50%
Away Win
49%
+1.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.7pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fransız Guyanası EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Nikaragua EU Bookmakers 53%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
242 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 540 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fransız Guyanası
0-1
AWAY Nikaragua
0.80 xG 0.92
38% Ball Possession 62%
6 Total Shots 19
1 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 5
193 Passes 423
72% Pass Accuracy 86%
9 Box Touches 19
9 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Fransız Guyanası vs Nikaragua
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nikaragua nicked a narrow win over Fransız Guyanası 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Nikaragua as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Fransız Guyanası had 38% of the ball to Nikaragua's 62%, shots finished 6-19, expected goals 0.80 to 0.92.

What was the final score of Fransız Guyanası vs Nikaragua?

Fransız Guyanası 0-1 Nikaragua in the CONCACAF Champions League on 06/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fransız Guyanası vs Nikaragua?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nikaragua win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Fransız Guyanası 27%, draw 23%, Nikaragua 50%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nikaragua), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nikaragua) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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