Bonaire 1-1 St. Vincent ve Grenadinler — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Champions League, 6 Sep 2024

📅06/09/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
4.13
Draw
29%
3.94
Away
50%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.23
Over 2.5
47%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.63
No
51%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.72
2-3 Goals
39%
1.92
4-5 Goals
21%
2.84
6+ Goals
14%
7.88
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.72 — our 26% vs market 16.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
7%
X/2
22%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
21%
+0.3pp
29%
Draw
22%
+7.5pp
50%
Away Win
58%
-7.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
41%
+11.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
59%
-11.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.4pp
51%
BTTS No
43%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bonaire EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Vincent ve Grenadinler EU Bookmakers 62%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -78% / -78%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -21%
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
223 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 399 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bonaire
1-1
AWAY St. Vincent ve Grenadinler
0.70 xG 1.03
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 8
286 Passes 169
79% Pass Accuracy 70%
18 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bonaire vs St. Vincent ve Grenadinler
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bonaire and St. Vincent ve Grenadinler couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was St. Vincent ve Grenadinler at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Bonaire had 54% of the ball to St. Vincent ve Grenadinler's 46%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 0.70 to 1.03.

What was the final score of Bonaire vs St. Vincent ve Grenadinler?

Bonaire 1-1 St. Vincent ve Grenadinler in the CONCACAF Champions League on 06/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bonaire vs St. Vincent ve Grenadinler?

Before kick-off our model rated an St. Vincent ve Grenadinler win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Bonaire 21%, draw 29%, St. Vincent ve Grenadinler 50%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (St. Vincent ve Grenadinler), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (St. Vincent ve Grenadinler) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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