Kosta Rika 3-0 Guadeloupe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Champions League, 6 Sep 2024

📅06/09/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.22
Draw
21%
5.28
Away
21%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.21
Over 2.5
43%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.51
No
63%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
4.3
2-3 Goals
35%
1.87
4-5 Goals
21%
2.98
6+ Goals
10%
9.09
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.3 — our 34% vs market 18.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
5%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
78%
-19.3pp
21%
Draw
16%
+4.9pp
21%
Away Win
7%
+14.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
41%
+15.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
59%
-15.9pp
37%
BTTS Yes
36%
+1.5pp
63%
BTTS No
64%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kosta Rika EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Guadeloupe EU Bookmakers 9%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-33% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
64% Ball Possession 36%
19 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
416 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 178 · 66%
32.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.0 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kosta Rika
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Guadeloupe
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.22 xG 0.64
62% Ball Possession 38%
8 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
518 Passes 289
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 9
12 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 2
13.07.2021 Kosta Rika Kosta Rika 3-1 HT 2-1 Guadeloupe Guadeloupe GK
19.07.2009 Guadeloupe Guadeloupe 1-5 HT 0-2 Kosta Rika Kosta Rika GK
12.06.2007 Kosta Rika Kosta Rika 1-0 HT 1-0 Guadeloupe Guadeloupe GK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kosta Rika
3-0
AWAY Guadeloupe
2.05 xG 0.54
61% Ball Possession 39%
21 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 4
458 Passes 274
88% Pass Accuracy 83%
43 Box Touches 12
21 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kosta Rika vs Guadeloupe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kosta Rika swept aside Guadeloupe 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kosta Rika as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (63%) landed while under 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Kosta Rika had 61% of the ball to Guadeloupe's 39%, shots finished 21-9, expected goals 2.05 to 0.54.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Kosta Rika had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Kosta Rika and 0.67 for Guadeloupe.

What was the final score of Kosta Rika vs Guadeloupe?

Kosta Rika 3-0 Guadeloupe in the CONCACAF Champions League on 06/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kosta Rika vs Guadeloupe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kosta Rika win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Kosta Rika 58%, draw 21%, Guadeloupe 21%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kosta Rika), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kosta Rika) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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