Guatemala 3-1 Martinik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Champions League, 6 Sep 2024

📅06/09/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.45
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
20%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.82
Over 2.5
42%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.13
No
59%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.13
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.75
6+ Goals
8%
15.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.13 — our 31% vs market 26.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
20%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
65%
-10.9pp
26%
Draw
21%
+4.9pp
20%
Away Win
14%
+6.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
51%
+6.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
49%
-6.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
43%
-1.9pp
59%
BTTS No
57%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guatemala EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Martinik EU Bookmakers 17%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
3.14/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.39/0.39
+28% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -60% / +150%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
315 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.8
Crosses 18.4
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guatemala
3-1
AWAY Martinik
3.60 xG 1.69
56% Ball Possession 44%
20 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
277 Passes 221
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
35 Box Touches 28
26 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Guatemala vs Martinik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guatemala got the better of Martinik 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Guatemala as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Guatemala had 56% of the ball to Martinik's 44%, shots finished 20-17, expected goals 3.60 to 1.69.

What was the final score of Guatemala vs Martinik?

Guatemala 3-1 Martinik in the CONCACAF Champions League on 06/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guatemala vs Martinik?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guatemala win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Guatemala 54%, draw 26%, Martinik 20%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guatemala) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Guatemala) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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