Trinidad & Tobago 3-1 Küba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Champions League, 15 Oct 2024

📅15/10/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
31%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.74
Over 2.5
48%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.85
No
58%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.89
2-3 Goals
36%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.03
6+ Goals
8%
18.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.89 — our 33% vs market 28.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
48%
-5.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.2pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
50%
-7.5pp
58%
BTTS No
50%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trinidad & Tobago EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Küba EU Bookmakers 29%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -49% / -49%
2.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
+27% / -52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -32%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
354 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 75%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
12.0 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trinidad & Tobago
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Küba
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.15 xG 1.93
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
343 Passes 343
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
15 Box Touches 20
6 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
10.10.2024 Küba Küba 2-2 HT 0-1 Trinidad & Tobago Trinidad & Tobago CON
13.07.2015 Trinidad & Tobago Trinidad & Tobago 2-0 HT 2-0 Küba Küba GK
21.08.2008 Küba Küba 1-3 HT 0-1 Trinidad & Tobago Trinidad & Tobago DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trinidad & Tobago
3-1
AWAY Küba
2.85 xG 0.90
42% Ball Possession 58%
18 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 0
242 Passes 356
75% Pass Accuracy 82%
23 Box Touches 18
7 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Trinidad & Tobago vs Küba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trinidad & Tobago got the better of Küba 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Trinidad & Tobago as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Trinidad & Tobago had 42% of the ball to Küba's 58%, shots finished 18-10, expected goals 2.85 to 0.90.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Trinidad & Tobago had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Trinidad & Tobago and 1.00 for Küba.

What was the final score of Trinidad & Tobago vs Küba?

Trinidad & Tobago 3-1 Küba in the CONCACAF Champions League on 15/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trinidad & Tobago vs Küba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trinidad & Tobago win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Trinidad & Tobago 43%, draw 26%, Küba 31%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Trinidad & Tobago) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Trinidad & Tobago) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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