Panama 1-1 Surinam — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 15 Oct 2025

📅15/10/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.49
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
21%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.78
Over 2.5
43%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.06
No
58%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
39%
2.88
2-3 Goals
35%
1.73
4-5 Goals
18%
3.67
6+ Goals
8%
15.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.88 — our 39% vs market 27.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
24%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
63%
-5.2pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.1pp
21%
Away Win
15%
+6.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.1pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Panama EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Surinam EU Bookmakers 18%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.53/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.53/1.24
-27% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +57%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
355 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 80%
31.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.0
29.4 Crosses 10.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Panama
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Surinam
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.08 xG 0.72
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 3
371 Passes 269
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
27 Box Touches 17
29 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
05.09.2025 Surinam Surinam 0-0 HT 0-0 Panama Panama DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Panama
1-1
AWAY Surinam
3.08 xG 1.56
67% Ball Possession 33%
28 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
510 Passes 215
85% Pass Accuracy 71%
51 Box Touches 9
43 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Panama vs Surinam
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Panama and Surinam shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Panama carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Panama had 67% of the ball to Surinam's 33%, shots finished 28-8, expected goals 3.08 to 1.56.

What was the final score of Panama vs Surinam?

Panama 1-1 Surinam in the World Cup Qualifiers on 15/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Panama vs Surinam?

Before kick-off our model rated a Panama win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Panama 57%, draw 22%, Surinam 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Panama), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Panama) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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