Jamaika 4-0 Bermuda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 15 Oct 2025

📅15/10/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
75%
1.11
Draw
13%
8.11
Away
12%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
3.59
Over 2.5
65%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.81
No
48%
1.38
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
8.14
2-3 Goals
36%
2.33
4-5 Goals
25%
2.28
6+ Goals
20%
3.71
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
23%
X/2
5%
X/X
5%
2/1
8%
2/2
3%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
75%
Home Win
85%
-10.0pp
13%
Draw
9%
+3.7pp
12%
Away Win
6%
+6.2pp
35%
Under 2.5
24%
+11.1pp
65%
Over 2.5
76%
-11.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
32%
+20.8pp
48%
BTTS No
68%
-20.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jamaika EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Bermuda EU Bookmakers 9%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +35% / +35%
1.57/0.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.91
-42% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +20%
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
399 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 80%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.4
9.0 Crosses 12.0
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jamaika
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Bermuda
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.48 xG 0.41
46% Ball Possession 54%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
282 Passes 321
86% Pass Accuracy 84%
36 Box Touches 13
12 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 0
06.09.2025 Bermuda Bermuda 0-4 HT 0-2 Jamaika Jamaika DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jamaika
4-0
AWAY Bermuda
3.74 xG 0.44
75% Ball Possession 25%
26 Total Shots 5
12 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 2
541 Passes 148
90% Pass Accuracy 75%
47 Box Touches 7
30 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Jamaika vs Bermuda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jamaika ran out comfortable winners over Bermuda 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Jamaika as the likeliest winner at 75%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Jamaika had 75% of the ball to Bermuda's 25%, shots finished 26-5, expected goals 3.74 to 0.44.

What was the final score of Jamaika vs Bermuda?

Jamaika 4-0 Bermuda in the World Cup Qualifiers on 15/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jamaika vs Bermuda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jamaika win the most likely single outcome at about 75%, with the full match-result split Jamaika 75%, draw 13%, Bermuda 12%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jamaika), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Jamaika) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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