El Salvador vs Guatemala Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
El Salvador v Guatemala — Team-Based Signals
El Salvador vs Guatemala Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
El Salvador
CON
2-0
HT 0-0
Guatemala
GK
0-0
HT 0-0
Guatemala
HAZ
1-0
HT 0-0
El Salvador
GK
El Salvador 0-1 Guatemala — Actual Match Statistics
Guatemala edged past El Salvador 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (32% / 29% / 39%) promised a tight game; Guatemala found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, El Salvador had 58% of the ball to Guatemala's 42%, shots finished 6-4, expected goals 0.29 to 0.19.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, El Salvador had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for El Salvador and 0.50 for Guatemala.
What was the final score of El Salvador vs Guatemala?
El Salvador 0-1 Guatemala in the World Cup Qualifiers on 15/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for El Salvador vs Guatemala?
Before kick-off our model rated an Guatemala win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split El Salvador 32%, draw 29%, Guatemala 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guatemala), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.