El Salvador vs Guatemala Prediction — Model Probabilities
El Salvador v Guatemala — Team-Based Signals
El Salvador vs Guatemala Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
El Salvador 0-1 Guatemala — Actual Match Statistics
Guatemala found just enough to beat El Salvador 1-0 on the road. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.
Our pre-match split (31% / 32% / 37%) promised a tight game; Guatemala found the edge the numbers couldn't. Nothing to argue with on goals either — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came home.
Under the surface, El Salvador had 58% of the ball to Guatemala's 42%, shots finished 6-4, expected goals 0.29 to 0.19.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, El Salvador had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for El Salvador and 0.50 for Guatemala.
El Salvador vs Guatemala Result & Final Score
El Salvador 0 - 1 Guatemala in the World Cup Qualifiers on 15/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
El Salvador vs Guatemala Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Guatemala win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split El Salvador 31%, draw 32%, Guatemala 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guatemala), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.