Guatemala vs El Salvador Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Guatemala v El Salvador — Team-Based Signals
Guatemala vs El Salvador Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
El Salvador
CON
2-0
HT 0-0
Guatemala
GK
0-0
HT 0-0
Guatemala
HAZ
1-0
HT 0-0
El Salvador
GK
Guatemala 0-1 El Salvador — Actual Match Statistics
El Salvador nicked a narrow win over Guatemala 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Guatemala at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.
On the day, Guatemala had 72% of the ball to El Salvador's 28%, shots finished 19-10, expected goals 1.06 to 0.58 — the balance of chances actually favoured Guatemala.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Guatemala and 0.60 for El Salvador.
What was the final score of Guatemala vs El Salvador?
Guatemala 0-1 El Salvador in the World Cup Qualifiers on 05/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Guatemala vs El Salvador?
Before kick-off our model rated a Guatemala win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Guatemala 47%, draw 27%, El Salvador 25%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Guatemala) went the other way.