Guatemala vs El Salvador Prediction — Model Probabilities
Guatemala v El Salvador — Team-Based Signals
Guatemala vs El Salvador Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
Guatemala 0-1 El Salvador — Actual Match Statistics
El Salvador nicked a narrow win over Guatemala 1-0 on the road. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.
A gentle 53% lean on Guatemala didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.
The match data tells the story: Guatemala had 72% of the ball to El Salvador's 28%, shots finished 19-10, expected goals 1.06 to 0.58 — on chances, Guatemala could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Guatemala and 0.60 for El Salvador.
Guatemala vs El Salvador Result & Final Score
Guatemala 0 - 1 El Salvador in the World Cup Qualifiers on 05/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Guatemala vs El Salvador Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Guatemala win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Guatemala 53%, draw 28%, El Salvador 19%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Guatemala) went the other way.