Uruguay 3-0 Peru — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 5 Sep 2025

Uruguay
3-0 HT 1-0
Peru
📅05/09/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
World Cup Qualifiers – 2026

Uruguay vs Peru Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.45
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
15%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.52
Over 2.5
36%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.75
No
56%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.19
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
17%
5.12
6+ Goals
7%
32.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1.8
1/2
3%
34.5
1/X
10%
21.2
X/1
17%
3.41
X/2
3%
14.6
X/X
8%
4.4
2/1
8%
33.0
2/2
9%
15.05
2/X
7%
24.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
65%
-5.1pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.1pp
15%
Away Win
12%
+3.0pp
64%
Under 2.5
62%
+1.6pp
36%
Over 2.5
38%
-1.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
32%
+11.7pp
56%
BTTS No
68%
-11.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Uruguay v Peru — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Uruguay EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Peru EU Bookmakers 15%
+7% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +10%
1.47/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.35/1.11
-21% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -66% / +84%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
414 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 78%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 7.3
23.1 Crosses 7.6
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.4

Uruguay vs Peru Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Uruguay
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Peru
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.90 xG 0.46
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
317 Passes 347
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 14
14 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
12.10.2024 Peru Peru 1-0 HT 0-0 Uruguay Uruguay DKE
25.03.2022 Uruguay Uruguay 1-0 HT 1-0 Peru Peru DKE
03.09.2021 Peru Peru 1-1 HT 1-1 Uruguay Uruguay DKE
16.10.2019 Peru Peru 1-1 HT 1-0 Uruguay Uruguay HAZ
12.10.2019 Uruguay Uruguay 1-0 HT 1-0 Peru Peru HAZ
29.06.2019 Uruguay Uruguay 0-0 HT 0-0 Peru Peru AKU

Uruguay 3-0 Peru — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Uruguay
3-0
AWAY Peru
2.49 xG 0.46
63% Ball Possession 37%
24 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 1
547 Passes 301
88% Pass Accuracy 81%
41 Box Touches 12
20 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Uruguay vs Peru
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Uruguay cruised past Peru 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Uruguay as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (64%) missed.

On the day, Uruguay had 63% of the ball to Peru's 37%, shots finished 24-11, expected goals 2.49 to 0.46.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Uruguay had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Uruguay and 0.50 for Peru.

What was the final score of Uruguay vs Peru?

Uruguay 3-0 Peru in the World Cup Qualifiers on 05/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Uruguay vs Peru?

Before kick-off our model rated a Uruguay win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Uruguay 60%, draw 25%, Peru 15%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Uruguay), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Uruguay) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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