Paraguay 0-0 Ekvador — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 5 Sep 2025

Paraguay
0-0 HT 0-0
Ekvador
📅05/09/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
World Cup Qualifiers – 2026

Paraguay vs Ekvador Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.27
Draw
27%
2.66
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.28
Over 2.5
30%
3.46
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.6
No
65%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
1.67
2-3 Goals
38%
1.9
4-5 Goals
14%
8.44
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.47
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
15.55
X/1
17%
4.55
X/2
13%
6.64
X/X
13%
2.83
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
9%
6.12
2/X
5%
16.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
40%
+5.1pp
27%
Draw
34%
-7.4pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.3pp
70%
Under 2.5
75%
-4.5pp
30%
Over 2.5
25%
+4.5pp
35%
BTTS Yes
34%
+0.8pp
65%
BTTS No
66%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Paraguay v Ekvador — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paraguay EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Ekvador EU Bookmakers 29%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
0.56/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.55/0.66
-30% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -77% / +150%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
244 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 70%
12.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.3
20.1 Crosses 13.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5

Paraguay vs Ekvador Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paraguay
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Ekvador
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.56 xG 1.16
35% Ball Possession 65%
7 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 7
161 Passes 379
64% Pass Accuracy 81%
9 Box Touches 20
10 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
11.10.2024 Ekvador Ekvador 0-0 HT 0-0 Paraguay Paraguay DKE
25.03.2022 Paraguay Paraguay 3-1 HT 2-0 Ekvador Ekvador DKE
03.09.2021 Ekvador Ekvador 2-0 HT 0-0 Paraguay Paraguay DKE
24.03.2017 Paraguay Paraguay 2-1 HT 1-0 Ekvador Ekvador DKE
24.03.2016 Ekvador Ekvador 2-2 HT 1-1 Paraguay Paraguay DKE
26.03.2013 Ekvador Ekvador 4-1 HT 1-1 Paraguay Paraguay DKE

Paraguay 0-0 Ekvador — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paraguay
0-0
AWAY Ekvador
0.63 xG 0.25
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 1
176 Passes 372
70% Pass Accuracy 85%
11 Box Touches 6
18 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Paraguay vs Ekvador
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paraguay and Ekvador fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Paraguay at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (65%) came in.

On the day, Paraguay had 38% of the ball to Ekvador's 62%, shots finished 7-6, expected goals 0.63 to 0.25.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Paraguay and 1.67 for Ekvador.

What was the final score of Paraguay vs Ekvador?

Paraguay 0-0 Ekvador in the World Cup Qualifiers on 05/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paraguay vs Ekvador?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paraguay win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Paraguay 45%, draw 27%, Ekvador 28%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Paraguay) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Paraguay) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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