Arjantin 3-0 Venezuela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 5 Sep 2025

Arjantin
3-0 HT 1-0
Venezuela
📅05/09/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
World Cup Qualifiers – 2026

Arjantin vs Venezuela Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
72%
1.28
Draw
19%
4.95
Away
9%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.53
No
56%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.24
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
3.36
6+ Goals
8%
12.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.24 — our 29% vs market 24.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1.44
1/2
3%
34.5
1/X
6%
25.5
X/1
21%
3.45
X/2
3%
22.35
X/X
8%
6.64
2/1
10%
28.5
2/2
3%
22.8
2/X
5%
30.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
72%
Home Win
74%
-1.9pp
19%
Draw
17%
+1.3pp
9%
Away Win
9%
+0.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
36%
+8.6pp
56%
BTTS No
64%
-8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Arjantin v Venezuela — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arjantin EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Venezuela EU Bookmakers 11%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -14%
1.29/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.91
-41% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +13%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
449 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 77%
26.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.1
15.0 Crosses 12.4
1.5 Yellow Cards 3.0

Arjantin vs Venezuela Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arjantin
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Venezuela
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.06 xG 0.91
65% Ball Possession 35%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
456 Passes 199
85% Pass Accuracy 70%
33 Box Touches 10
18 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
11.10.2024 Venezuela Venezuela 1-1 Arjantin Arjantin DKE
26.03.2022 Arjantin Arjantin 3-0 HT 1-0 Venezuela Venezuela DKE
03.09.2021 Venezuela Venezuela 1-3 HT 0-1 Arjantin Arjantin DKE
28.06.2019 Venezuela Venezuela 0-2 HT 0-1 Arjantin Arjantin AKU
22.03.2019 Arjantin Arjantin 1-3 HT 0-2 Venezuela Venezuela HAZ
06.09.2017 Arjantin Arjantin 1-1 HT 0-0 Venezuela Venezuela DKE

Arjantin 3-0 Venezuela — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arjantin
3-0
AWAY Venezuela
1.97 xG 0.26
77% Ball Possession 23%
17 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 0
780 Passes 189
93% Pass Accuracy 74%
30 Box Touches 10
2 Crosses 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Arjantin vs Venezuela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arjantin cruised past Venezuela 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Arjantin as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Arjantin had 77% of the ball to Venezuela's 23%, shots finished 17-5, expected goals 1.97 to 0.26.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arjantin had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Arjantin and 1.00 for Venezuela.

What was the final score of Arjantin vs Venezuela?

Arjantin 3-0 Venezuela in the World Cup Qualifiers on 05/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arjantin vs Venezuela?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arjantin win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Arjantin 72%, draw 19%, Venezuela 9%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arjantin), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arjantin) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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