Namibya 1-2 Malavi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 5 Sep 2025

📅05/09/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.18
Draw
29%
2.77
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.28
Over 2.5
42%
3.46
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.67
No
50%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
1.63
2-3 Goals
41%
1.87
4-5 Goals
16%
8.35
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
42%
+2.9pp
29%
Draw
32%
-3.8pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+0.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
75%
-16.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
25%
+16.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
33%
+17.2pp
50%
BTTS No
67%
-17.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Namibya EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Malavi EU Bookmakers 29%
-27% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
0.70/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/0.28
-48% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / +150%
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
384 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Namibya
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Malavi
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1 Total Shots 0
1 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
1 Passes 0
20.03.2025 Malavi Malavi 0-1 Namibya Namibya DKE
05.06.2013 Malavi Malavi 0-0 HT 0-0 Namibya Namibya DKE
23.03.2013 Namibya Namibya 0-1 HT 0-0 Malavi Malavi DKE
POST-MATCH Namibya vs Malavi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Malavi nicked a narrow win over Namibya 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Namibya at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Namibya and 0.33 for Malavi.

What was the final score of Namibya vs Malavi?

Namibya 1-2 Malavi in the World Cup Qualifiers on 05/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Namibya vs Malavi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Namibya win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Namibya 45%, draw 29%, Malavi 26%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Namibya) ✗ Under 2.5
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