Kolombiya 3-0 Bolivya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 5 Sep 2025

📅05/09/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
76%
1.16
Draw
15%
7.13
Away
9%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.61
Over 2.5
59%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.51
No
52%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.47
2-3 Goals
40%
1.99
4-5 Goals
28%
2.52
6+ Goals
11%
5.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
48%
1.19
1/2
2%
34.5
1/X
5%
34.5
X/1
17%
3.68
X/2
3%
34.5
X/X
6%
11.2
2/1
11%
28.5
2/2
3%
34.5
2/X
5%
34.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
76%
Home Win
82%
-5.6pp
15%
Draw
11%
+4.0pp
8%
Away Win
7%
+1.7pp
41%
Under 2.5
35%
+6.2pp
59%
Over 2.5
65%
-6.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
36%
+11.8pp
52%
BTTS No
64%
-11.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kolombiya EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Bolivya EU Bookmakers 9%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +5%
1.52/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/2.17
-50% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -8%
64% Ball Possession 36%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
453 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 208 · 72%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 7.3
20.1 Crosses 8.6
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kolombiya
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Bolivya
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.72 xG 0.32
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
408 Passes 236
85% Pass Accuracy 76%
29 Box Touches 9
20 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
10.10.2024 Bolivya Bolivya 1-0 HT 0-0 Kolombiya Kolombiya DKE
16.06.2024 Kolombiya Kolombiya 3-0 HT 3-0 Bolivya Bolivya HAZ
25.03.2022 Kolombiya Kolombiya 3-0 HT 1-0 Bolivya Bolivya DKE
02.09.2021 Bolivya Bolivya 1-1 HT 0-0 Kolombiya Kolombiya DKE
23.03.2017 Kolombiya Kolombiya 1-0 HT 0-0 Bolivya Bolivya DKE
24.03.2016 Bolivya Bolivya 2-3 HT 0-2 Kolombiya Kolombiya DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kolombiya
3-0
AWAY Bolivya
1.44 xG 0.42
64% Ball Possession 36%
12 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
437 Passes 228
89% Pass Accuracy 83%
25 Box Touches 6
20 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kolombiya vs Bolivya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kolombiya swept aside Bolivya 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kolombiya as the likeliest winner at 76%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Kolombiya had 64% of the ball to Bolivya's 36%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 1.44 to 0.42.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kolombiya had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Kolombiya and 0.67 for Bolivya.

What was the final score of Kolombiya vs Bolivya?

Kolombiya 3-0 Bolivya in the World Cup Qualifiers on 05/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kolombiya vs Bolivya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kolombiya win the most likely single outcome at about 76%, with the full match-result split Kolombiya 76%, draw 15%, Bolivya 8%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kolombiya), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kolombiya) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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