Bolivya 1-0 Kolombiya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 10 Oct 2024

📅10/10/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.94
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
39%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.52
Over 2.5
49%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.03
No
49%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.32
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
5.24
6+ Goals
7%
32.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
4.83
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
9%
14.25
X/1
10%
6.01
X/2
17%
4.77
X/X
9%
3.64
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
15%
3.48
2/X
9%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
31%
+3.9pp
27%
Draw
31%
-3.9pp
39%
Away Win
39%
-0.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
62%
-11.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
38%
+11.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
45%
+5.8pp
49%
BTTS No
55%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bolivya EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Kolombiya EU Bookmakers 43%
+10% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +7%
1.77/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/0.95
+128% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +9%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
286 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 79%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
23.2 Crosses 16.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bolivya
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Kolombiya
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
0.28 xG 1.72
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
244 Passes 406
75% Pass Accuracy 83%
8 Box Touches 31
12 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
16.06.2024 Kolombiya Kolombiya 3-0 HT 3-0 Bolivya Bolivya HAZ
25.03.2022 Kolombiya Kolombiya 3-0 HT 1-0 Bolivya Bolivya DKE
02.09.2021 Bolivya Bolivya 1-1 HT 0-0 Kolombiya Kolombiya DKE
23.03.2017 Kolombiya Kolombiya 1-0 HT 0-0 Bolivya Bolivya DKE
24.03.2016 Bolivya Bolivya 2-3 HT 0-2 Kolombiya Kolombiya DKE
22.03.2013 Kolombiya Kolombiya 5-0 HT 1-0 Bolivya Bolivya DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bolivya
1-0
AWAY Kolombiya
0.49 xG 1.74
35% Ball Possession 65%
14 Total Shots 20
8 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 9
200 Passes 421
83% Pass Accuracy 93%
12 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 31
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bolivya vs Kolombiya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bolivya edged past Kolombiya 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 27% / 39%) promised a tight game; Bolivya found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Bolivya had 35% of the ball to Kolombiya's 65%, shots finished 14-20, expected goals 0.49 to 1.74 — on chances, Kolombiya could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kolombiya led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Bolivya and 2.67 for Kolombiya.

What was the final score of Bolivya vs Kolombiya?

Bolivya 1-0 Kolombiya in the World Cup Qualifiers on 10/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bolivya vs Kolombiya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kolombiya win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Bolivya 35%, draw 27%, Kolombiya 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Kolombiya), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kolombiya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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