Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri 1-1 Kuzey Kore — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 10 Oct 2024

Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri
1-1 HT 0-0
Kuzey Kore
📅10/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
World Cup Qualifiers – 2026

Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri vs Kuzey Kore Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.53
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
27%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.19
No
57%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.74
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.28
6+ Goals
8%
21.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.74 — our 35% vs market 30.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
61%
-16.6pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.2pp
27%
Away Win
15%
+12.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.2pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri v Kuzey Kore — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Kuzey Kore EU Bookmakers 18%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
3.00/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.19/0.59
+85% / -56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -76% / +141%
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
362 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 76%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
11.0 Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards –

Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri vs Kuzey Kore Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Kuzey Kore
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
4 Corners 4
The Meetings
11.01.2011 Kuzey Kore Kuzey Kore 0-0 HT 0-0 Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri ASK
28.03.2009 Kuzey Kore Kuzey Kore 2-0 HT 0-0 Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri DKE
06.09.2008 Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri 1-2 HT 0-0 Kuzey Kore Kuzey Kore DKE

Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri 1-1 Kuzey Kore — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri
1-1
AWAY Kuzey Kore
0.49 xG 1.95
59% Ball Possession 41%
8 Total Shots 17
1 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
336 Passes 213
78% Pass Accuracy 72%
13 Box Touches 21
21 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri vs Kuzey Kore
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri and Kuzey Kore shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri had 59% of the ball to Kuzey Kore's 41%, shots finished 8-17, expected goals 0.49 to 1.95.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Kuzey Kore led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri and 1.33 for Kuzey Kore.

What was the final score of Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri vs Kuzey Kore?

Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri 1-1 Kuzey Kore in the World Cup Qualifiers on 10/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri vs Kuzey Kore?

Before kick-off our model rated a Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri 45%, draw 28%, Kuzey Kore 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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