Ürdün 0-2 Güney Kore — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 10 Oct 2024

📅10/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.87
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
52%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.95
No
62%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.79
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.19
6+ Goals
9%
20.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.79 — our 36% vs market 29.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
28%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
22%
+2.4pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.6pp
52%
Away Win
50%
+1.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.8pp
38%
BTTS Yes
47%
-9.0pp
62%
BTTS No
53%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ürdün EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Güney Kore EU Bookmakers 55%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -45% / -45%
0.12/1.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.34/1.17
-86% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -73% / -35%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
259 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 80%
34.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.0
26.4 Crosses 29.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ürdün
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Güney Kore
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.06 xG 1.48
34% Ball Possession 66%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
209 Passes 544
70% Pass Accuracy 86%
14 Box Touches 29
10 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.02.2024 Ürdün Ürdün 2-0 HT 0-0 Güney Kore Güney Kore ASK
20.01.2024 Ürdün Ürdün 2-2 HT 2-1 Güney Kore Güney Kore ASK
14.11.2014 Ürdün Ürdün 0-1 HT 0-1 Güney Kore Güney Kore HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ürdün
0-2
AWAY Güney Kore
0.39 xG 0.94
25% Ball Possession 75%
13 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 2
169 Passes 680
71% Pass Accuracy 89%
15 Box Touches 16
8 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Ürdün vs Güney Kore
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Güney Kore got the better of Ürdün 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Güney Kore as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

On the day, Ürdün had 25% of the ball to Güney Kore's 75%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 0.39 to 0.94.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Ürdün and 1.00 for Güney Kore.

What was the final score of Ürdün vs Güney Kore?

Ürdün 0-2 Güney Kore in the World Cup Qualifiers on 10/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ürdün vs Güney Kore?

Before kick-off our model rated an Güney Kore win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Ürdün 25%, draw 23%, Güney Kore 52%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Güney Kore), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Güney Kore) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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