Avustralya vs Çin Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Avustralya v Çin — Team-Based Signals
Avustralya vs Çin Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Avustralya
DKE
3-0
HT 2-0
Çin
DKE
0-2
HT 0-0
Avustralya
ASK
0-2
HT 0-2
Avustralya
HAZ
Avustralya 3-1 Çin — Actual Match Statistics
Avustralya got the better of Çin 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Avustralya as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Avustralya had 73% of the ball to Çin's 27%, shots finished 18-7, expected goals 1.07 to 0.25.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Avustralya had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Avustralya and 0.25 for Çin.
What was the final score of Avustralya vs Çin?
Avustralya 3-1 Çin in the World Cup Qualifiers on 10/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Avustralya vs Çin?
Before kick-off our model rated a Avustralya win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Avustralya 67%, draw 21%, Çin 12%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Avustralya), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.