Umman 4-0 Kuveyt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 10 Oct 2024

Umman
4-0 HT 2-0
Kuveyt
📅10/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.53
Draw
29%
3.72
Away
21%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.64
Over 2.5
38%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.27
No
65%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
41%
2.59
2-3 Goals
35%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.55
6+ Goals
6%
24.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.59 — our 41% vs market 32.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
21%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
61%
-11.0pp
29%
Draw
24%
+5.2pp
21%
Away Win
15%
+5.7pp
62%
Under 2.5
57%
+5.0pp
38%
Over 2.5
43%
-5.0pp
35%
BTTS Yes
40%
-4.7pp
65%
BTTS No
60%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Umman EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Kuveyt EU Bookmakers 18%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.49/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.25/2.63
+3% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -26%
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
378 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 76%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.0
23.0 Crosses 7.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Umman
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Kuveyt
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
1.76 xG 1.04
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
252 Passes 412
71% Pass Accuracy 82%
12 Box Touches 25
12 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 2
30.11.2019 Kuveyt Kuveyt 1-2 HT 0-2 Umman Umman AKK
17.01.2015 Umman Umman 1-0 HT 0-0 Kuveyt Kuveyt ASK
20.11.2014 Kuveyt Kuveyt 0-5 HT 0-2 Umman Umman AKK
03.03.2010 Umman Umman 0-0 HT 0-0 Kuveyt Kuveyt ASK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Umman
4-0
AWAY Kuveyt
2.24 xG 1.09
65% Ball Possession 35%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 2
543 Passes 253
91% Pass Accuracy 82%
30 Box Touches 10
13 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Umman vs Kuveyt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Umman ran out comfortable winners over Kuveyt 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Umman as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (65%) landed while under 2.5 goals (62%) missed.

On the day, Umman had 65% of the ball to Kuveyt's 35%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 2.24 to 1.09.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Umman had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Umman and 0.25 for Kuveyt.

What was the final score of Umman vs Kuveyt?

Umman 4-0 Kuveyt in the World Cup Qualifiers on 10/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Umman vs Kuveyt?

Before kick-off our model rated a Umman win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Umman 50%, draw 29%, Kuveyt 21%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Umman), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Umman) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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